Harris Holds Narrow Lead Over Trump in National Poll

PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - JULY 13: Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during a campaign event at the Asian and Pacific Islander American Vote Presidential Town Hall at the Pennsylvania Convention Center on July 13, 2024 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Harris continues campaigning ahead of the presidential election as Democrats face doubts about President Biden's fitness in his run for re-election against former President Donald Trump. (Photo by Drew Hallowell/Getty Images)
Banner

Vice President Kamala Harris has edged ahead of former President Donald Trump in a recent national survey, with less than 25 days remaining until the election. According to a poll conducted by the Pew Research Center, Harris leads Trump by a slim margin of 48 percent to 47 percent among registered voters, with 5 percent of respondents leaning toward third-party candidates. Given the poll’s margin of error, this race remains extremely close.

The survey indicates that a significant portion of voters—86 percent—believe it is still too early to determine the winner of the November 5 election, highlighting the tight competition between the candidates.

When it comes to perceptions of leadership potential, opinions on Harris are mixed. Approximately 36 percent of respondents believe she would make a “good or great” president, while 18 percent consider her performance to be average. Notably, nearly half of those surveyed—46 percent—rated her potential presidency as “poor or terrible.”

Trump’s ratings reveal a similar divide. Nearly 48 percent of voters described him as a “terrible” commander-in-chief, while 41 percent believe he would be “good or great.” Only 11 percent view him as average.

Voters also expressed a strong belief that the GOP presidential nominee would bring about significant changes in Washington, with 89 percent anticipating alterations in the political landscape. This figure surpasses Harris’s 70 percent. Interestingly, both candidates were viewed by many respondents—48 percent for Trump and 41 percent for Harris—as likely to worsen the situation in Washington.

In another poll by The Economist/YouGov, Harris was shown to have a 4-point lead over Trump among likely voters, with 49 percent to Trump’s 45 percent. Among registered voters, her lead narrows to 3 points. According to an aggregate of polls from The Hill/Decision Desk HQ, Harris leads Trump by approximately 2.9 points, with 49.7 percent to 46.8 percent.

The Pew Research poll was conducted from September 30 to October 6, surveying 5,110 adults, including 4,025 registered voters, with a margin of error of 1.7 percentage points. As the election date approaches, both candidates face a critical challenge in swaying undecided voters and solidifying their bases.